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2008
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At the International foreign exchange market USD reached its maximum level for the last month against all main European currencies
International foreign exchange market. Today USD reached its maximum level for the last month against all main European currencies.
In Germany at 9:00 KT consumer prices index was published. Prices increased in May 0,6% in monthly calculation and 3% in annual one. Analysts forecasted the similar increase. Later on it became known about employment market in Euro zone. During the first quarter of the current year this indicator increased 0,3% in quarter calculation and 1,6% in annual calculation. The value of labour in Europe increased 3,3% in annual calculation.
While opening American trade session there was published US consumer prices index. In May it increased 0,6% in comparison with April. Market participants expected 0,5% increase.
Technical analysis of day and hour schedules of main currency pairs movement shows that in medium-term perspective USD will keep its growth.
Technical levels on the main currency pairs at 17:44 КТ:
| EUR/USD | GBP/USD | USD/CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opposition 3 | 1,554 1 | 1,966 5 | 1,067 5 |
| Opposition 2 | 1,543 5 | 1,956 3 | 1,058 8 |
| Opposition 1 | 1,537 3 | 1,950 1 | 1,053 5 |
| Support 1 | 1,531 5 | 1,944 5 | 1,048 3 |
| Support 2 | 1,525 2 | 1,938 0 | 1,042 9 |
| Support 3 | 1,514 8 | 1,927 3 | 1,033 9 |
At Ukrainian interbank foreign exchange market bids were performed without participation of the NBU that interrupted its activity after interventions performed on Thursday with the rate of 4,82/$1. Today market currency offer prevailed again over demand, and yesterday's interventions were not so significant to "allocate" market where USD kept decreasing today. Having opened at the level 4,72/4,74 per $1, by the end of the session USD decreased by 4,69/4,71 per $1. In spite of such significant decrease of American currency rate, the National Bank did not enter the market as considered it to be balanced.
Majority of bargains was concluded today by market participants within 4,70/4,72, with 4,73/4,74 per $1 a day before.
At present liberalization of grain and sunflower-oil export stimulates increase of currency intakes into the country. And market needs in USD are not so significant, as during autumn and winter periods. That is why there is inconsiderable surplus of offer pushing USD rate down. And only strong currency interventions of the National Bank can return USD rate to the level that will be close to the official rate that is purpose of the NBU.
Next week, as during last several weeks, USD and UAH behaviour at the interbank will depend on actions of the central regulator on behalf of the NBU.
At DEPO-market, before long holidays, UAH rates after insignificant decrease did not change for a while, however lost several per cents again in the evening.
Today "overnight" in UAH is at the level of 9,0/16,0%, with 10,0/18,0% a day before. Average weighted price on actually concluded bargains decreased by 13,3%, from 14,2% yesterday. Volume of bargains by the end of the session increased by UAH 3,99 b, from 3,87 b in accordance with previous bids.
Today credit rates for the term "from 2 to 7 days" are near yesterday's levels. Trade range on these credits constituted 15,4/17,0%. Average weighted price on actually performed bargains increased by 16,2%, with 16,0% a day before. Volumes of concluded bargains decreased by 180 m, from 223 m on Thursday.
Today credit rates for the term "from 22 to 31 days" are within 15,0/25,0%, with 18,0/19,0% at bids of the previous day.
Comments by S.N. kramarova, Head of Treasury of PRAVEX-BANK.
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News thrue june
2008
- Gold prices increase at precious metals market
- The US dollar decreased at the Ukrainian interbank foreign exchange market
- Gold price increased a little on Thursday
- Quotations decrease at precious metals market
- At DEPO-market trading was inactive
- June 25, gold price is expected within $885,00 $895,00 per troy ounce
- On June 24, gold price is expected within the range of $875.00-$885.00 per Troy ounce
- Rates increase at DEPO-market
- Quotations increase at precious
- Quotations increase at precious metals market
- The US dollar increased at the Ukrainian interbank foreign exchange market towards trade session closing
- June 19, gold price is expected within $880,00-$890,00 per troy ounce
- Rates increase at DEPO-market
- Gold futures increased in price
- The US dollar kept decreasing at the Ukrainian interbank currency market
- At international foreign exchange market USD kept growing after one day of correction
- Gold futures became more expensive
- Quotations decrease at precious metals market
- At the international foreign exchange market USD entered the phase of correction
- On June 11, gold price is expected within the limits of $870.00-$887.00 per ounce
- At the international foreign exchange market USD increased against main world currencies
- Quotations decrease at precious metals market
- The US dollar began to regain lost positions at the International foreign exchange market
- Quotations decrease at precious metals market
- The US dollar exchange rate decreases against the hryvnia at the Ukrainian inter-bank foreign exchange market
- Gold futures price decreased
- USD Supply and demand are relatively balanced without the NBU interference
- Quotations decrease at precious metals market
- At DEPO-market, there is a tendency towards credit rates decrease in national currency
- Gold price is expected within $891,30-$901,60 per ounce on June 4
- At international foreign currency market the US dollar reached its high against the euro for the last two and half week
- Quotations increase at precious metals market
- USD growth against EUR and GBP
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